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Does tax policy affect the investment decisions of small businesses?
Can the tax system impede the creation and growth of small firms? Do some
policies promote tax evasion by entrepreneurs and small businesses? Do
others encourage self-employed individuals to save more for retirement?
Although entrepreneurial firms have long contributed to the nation’s
economic activity, policy-makers have just begun to ask how taxes impact
important investment and savings decisions made by small businesses. Interestingly,
says Associate Professor of Economics Mark Rider (above),
much of the existing body of research on tax policy and business has focused
on larger firms.
As economic development officials look harder into the job growth created
by entrepreneurial firms, they have begun to generate a great deal of
interest in the related tax policy research of Rider and his coauthors.
Their articles, recently published in leading economic journals and books,
are receiving attention in the general press as well. (See R. Glenn Hubbard,
“Let’s Talk Taxes,” The Wall Street Journal,
September 8, 2004: A18.)
“Although the health and vitality of small businesses are a matter
of substantial policy concern, there has been little systematic investigation
of how tax policy may affect entrepreneurial behavior,” says Rider.
“It is important to know exactly what these policy impacts are,
and how they may support or deter entrepreneurial investment and growth.”
In their chapter, “Entrepreneurs, Income Taxes, and Investment,”
(Does Atlas Shrug? The Economic Consequences of Taxing the Rich,
Harvard University Press 2000) for example, authors Robert Carroll, Douglas
Holtz-Eakin, Rider and Harvey Rosen examine how an entrepreneur’s
tax situation may affect his or her investment behavior. They looked at
tax return data for sole proprietors before and after the Tax Reform Act
of 1986, which lowered marginal tax rates, and found that higher income
tax rates discouraged entrepreneurs from making capital outlays. “When
a sole proprietor’s marginal tax rate goes up, the probability that
he or she buys capital assets goes down,” they write, noting that
the magnitude of such responses is quite substantial.
Further analyzing this data, Rider and his co-authors then looked at
how the drop in marginal rates after the 1986 act affected small business
growth as measured by gross receipts in, “Personal Income Taxes
and the Growth of Smaller Firms.” (Tax Policy and the Economy,
15 [2001]) They focused on the empirical relationship between a sole
proprietor’s personal income tax rate and growth in receipts, and
found that “individual income taxes exert a statistically and quantitatively
significant influence on firm growth rates.” Their findings imply,
they write, that a sole proprietor whose marginal tax rate decreased from
50 percent to 33 percent would see a 28 percent increase in his or her
receipts.
In “Differential Taxation and Tax Evasion by Small Business,”
(National Tax Journal, 51[4]) Rider and David Joulfaian examine
the compliance patterns of small businesses that are taxed at different
rates. The IRS estimates that some entrepreneurs, depending on the business,
underreport income by as much as 60 percent. Rider and Joulfaian find
that for the selfemployed, income below a certain threshold is subject
to the self-employment tax (SECA), which raises their total tax liability.
Based on the evidence, they conclude that this different tax treatment
helps explain the disparity in voluntary income tax reporting by the self-employed.
Tax policy can influence retirement savings. In “The effect of
tax-based savings incentives on the self-employed,” (Journal
of Public Economics, 85 [2002]) Rider and co-author Laura Power find
that taxes have a substantial effect on both the decision to contribute
and the amount contributed to tax-deferred retirement savings plans. “The
contributions of self-employed individuals to taxdeferred retirement plans
are responsive to changes in their tax price,” they write.
Rider continues to look at the impact that tax policy has on small businesses,
most recently in his research for the Jamaica tax reform project through
the International Studies Program. “It is widely believed that entrepreneurship
is an important source of economic growth and employment in the U.S. economy.
Therefore, it is important to examine the effect of taxes on this sector
of the economy,” he says.
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